Capabilities statement
Models for decisions that are expensive to get wrong.
Analytica builds predictive and explainable models for organisations where being wrong is expensive. We are small on purpose: the person who scopes the work is the person who builds it.
- Legal name
- Analytica Data Science Solutions
- Registered address
- 3701 S George Mason Dr, Unit 1915N, Falls Church, VA 22041
- Founded
- Established 2015
- Principal
- Dr. Aous Abdo
- Years in operation
- 11Years in operation
- Applications live and open
- 22Applications live and open
- Federal & defense tools, public data
- 7Federal & defense tools, public data
- Peer-reviewed papers, principal
- 108Peer-reviewed papers, principal
Core competencies
Four capabilities, and what backs each one.
- 01
Predictive modelling on operational data
Failure, risk and demand forecasting on the tabular, geospatial and sensor data an agency already holds. Validated against held-out reality, not against a training set.
Evidence · Storm damage forecast five days out; remaining-useful-life on a maintained fleet.
- 02
Entity resolution and record linkage
Reconciling records across systems that share no identifier and were never designed to be joined — the unglamorous half of most federal analytics work.
Evidence · Contract-network reconstruction across federal spending records.
- 03
Explainable AI and decision support
Model output that survives being questioned by someone senior. Drivers, counterfactuals and confidence, delivered in the interface where the decision is actually made.
Evidence · Operational dashboards with automated alerting, in production.
- 04
Training and enablement
Curriculum written for analysts and decision-makers rather than for a bootcamp. Delivered live, to mixed-seniority rooms, with no programming prerequisite.
Evidence · AI for Decision Support in Defense Operations · R for Data Science.
Past performance
Engagements where being wrong was expensive.
Federal government · Homeland security · Critical infrastructure · 2018 – present
Predicting how a hurricane cascades through US critical infrastructure
Record linkage at national scale, then a forecast of how a storm moves through what it links — delivered as a platform, as prime, since 2018.
2018 –continuing, as prime contractor
Energy · Utilities · 2 years
Predicting where a storm will break the grid — five days out
A two-stage model that forecasts damage by district, then converts that into the crews and materials to pre-stage.
15%reduction in outage times
Energy · Environment · Public sector · 38 years of records, 1975–2013
Four decades of pipeline incidents, and the gap nobody had measured
Roughly 62,000 incidents across 38 years. 94% were reported the same day. Only 20% were resolved the same day — a gap that had never been quantified.
~62,000incidents analysed
Commercial real estate · Hospitality · 2016, then multi-year
Matching hotels to buyers, in a market where almost nobody rates anything
A recommender built on a ratings matrix that was 99.35% empty — and the honest bake-off that picked the algorithm, including the one that lost.
3 months → instantto produce a buyer shortlist
Automotive · Telematics · 19,000 km over 11 days
Telling drivers apart from the way they drive
Sensor telemetry from an 11-day, 19,000-kilometre expedition, reduced to a behavioural signature that identifies who is behind the wheel.
78%identification accuracy
Mining · Industrial · Not disclosed
Predicting equipment failure before it stops the site
Remaining-useful-life models over historical part-failure data, plus unsupervised stress-level estimation on components with no failure history.
−23%unscheduled downtime
Client names are withheld where the engagement was subcontracted or where consent to name has not been given. Named references are available on request.
Why Analytica
Differentiators.
- 01
The work is inspectable before you buy it
22 applications are live and open right now — no signup, no demo request. Seven are federal and defense intelligence tools built entirely from public records. You can judge the modelling before a conversation, which is not normal in this market.
- 02
Defensible by training, not by policy
The founder spent a decade pulling faint signals out of overwhelming background on NASA’s Fermi Gamma-ray Space Telescope, then defending the result in front of people paid to find the hole in it. That is the same job, with different data.
- 03
Explainability is a deliverable
Not an appendix. If the output cannot be defended in a briefing, it will not be acted on, and an unacted-on model is a cost centre.
- 04
Small enough that the principal builds
No layer between the person who scoped the engagement and the person writing the code. It is why we decline work we cannot do well.
Domain evidence
7 federal and defense tools, built entirely from public records.
These are not client deliverables and contain nothing privileged. They exist because the questions they answer are hard to answer any other way — and because being able to answer them is the capability on offer. Every one is live and open right now.
Constellation
The Counter-UAS contracting network
Drift
MDAP cost growth explorer
Skywatch
Counter-UAS incident atlas
Crucible
The federal SBIR pipeline
Watchstander
Maritime domain awareness
Chokepoint
Strait of Hormuz consequence engine
Airthread
From detection to coordinated decision
Federal identifiers
Registered, active, and checkable.
- Unique Entity ID
- X563TN1QGJF1
- Registered since 21 Feb 2023
- CAGE / NCAGE
- 9JFF2
- All Awards
- SAM.gov
- Active — expires 30 Dec 2026
- Cross-check at sam.gov
- Socio-economic
- Self-certified Small Disadvantaged Business
- Virginia · Congressional District VA-08
NAICS codes · 14 registered
- 541519Other Computer Related ServicesPrimary
- 518210Computing Infrastructure Providers, Data Processing, Web Hosting and Related Services
- 519290Web Search Portals and All Other Information Services
- 541512Computer Systems Design Services
- 541513Computer Facilities Management Services
- 541611Administrative Management and General Management Consulting Services
- 541612Human Resources Consulting Services
- 541613Marketing Consulting Services
- 541614Process, Physical Distribution and Logistics Consulting Services
- 541620Environmental Consulting Services
- 541690Other Scientific and Technical Consulting Services
- 541715Research and Development in the Physical, Engineering and Life Sciences
- 541720Research and Development in the Social Sciences and Humanities
- 541990All Other Professional, Scientific and Technical Services
Contact
Start a conversation.
For RFIs, teaming discussions, capability briefings or a scoping call — one business day, and it reaches the principal rather than a queue.
Direct
Analytica Data Science Solutions
3701 S George Mason Dr, Unit 1915N, Falls Church, VA 22041
Dr. Aous Abdo, Principal
Analytica Data Science Solutions · Capabilities statement · 2026